Archive for March, 2008

GBP/USD is trading in wide and wild range in the last few weeks. The trend is still down but the market is in consolidation mode. MACD and Stochastics are about to give sell signals. BoE speakers sound dovish and want the cable lower. Support is @ 1.9880 and 1.9720. If t6he latter level is broken [...]

Sunday, March 30th, 2008 at 15:18 | 0 comments
Categories: Technical Analysis
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Two days relatively calm market after two days of 250 pips ranges. The trend is still up but the speculators are aware of CBs joint intervention. Technical indicators are pointing higher but the Stochastichs is sending some warning signs. Probably the pain threshold is 1.60+. Don’t leave long EUR positions without stop. Support is @ [...]

Sunday, March 30th, 2008 at 15:12 | 0 comments
Categories: Technical Analysis
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The forex market is crazy these days. Don’t use any kind of analysis, it won’t help. It’s much better to stay aside until the ECB realizes what exactly happens. Large speculators and CBs from Mid East Asia and Russia are making money. Yesterday they launched another attempt towards 1.6000 to test the patience of teh [...]

Wednesday, March 26th, 2008 at 21:40 | 0 comments
Categories: Technical Analysis
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After rumours about UK bank problems GBP was sold off agressively. The chart looks heavy and if GBP/USD breaks below 1.9940 the next support @ 1.9740 is next target.

Wednesday, March 19th, 2008 at 13:14 | 0 comments
Categories: Technical Analysis
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FED cuts rates with 75 bps. In the statement again were mentioned the downside risks to growth and we can expect further easing. Some analysts expect Fed funds rate at 1%. The reaction of the forex market was choppy after the announcement. EUR/USD is extremely overbought and is due for correction but at the same [...]

Tuesday, March 18th, 2008 at 20:41 | 0 comments
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The forex market is in panic mode. The problems in the credit market worsened in the last few days and the purchase of Bear Stearns by JP Morgan for $2 per share caused massive sell off in many markets. EUR/USD reached 1.5902 but then retreated to 1.5700/800 area. Dealers are expecting joint intervention by the [...]

Monday, March 17th, 2008 at 18:53 | 0 comments
Categories: Technical Analysis
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GBP/USD formed bearish engulfing on Friday which is a candlesticks reversal pattern. Today the market broke below the Friday’s low and confirmed the reversal. If the support @ 1.9970 is broken the next support is @ 1.9720. Keep in mind the the forex market is crazy these days and anything is possible.

Monday, March 17th, 2008 at 18:45 | 0 comments
Categories: Technical Analysis
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GBP/USD is between strong support and resistance zones. Upside is limited by the recent highs @ 2.0220 and the 50% retracement level @ 2.0240. The downtrend will continue if the support levels 1.9990 (recent lows) and 1.9970 (previous resistnace now support) are broken.
 

Wednesday, March 12th, 2008 at 09:35 | 0 comments
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Yesterday the forex market was extremely volatile. After the stronger than expected ZEW index EUR hit another all-time high @ 1.5494. In the early US trading Fed announced further attempts to enhance liquidity via an expanded securities lending program and increased to its swap lines with the ECB and SNB. This signalled massive sell off [...]

Wednesday, March 12th, 2008 at 09:05 | 0 comments
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GBP/USD is still in its downtrend although the cable looks stronger now after the joining the euro.  Key for the GBP future trend will be the 2.0250 resistance (50% retracement level and previous support) and the BoE monetary policy. Remember that BoE is not like ECB and will act immediately if the economic data from [...]

Saturday, March 8th, 2008 at 09:46 | 0 comments
Categories: Technical Analysis
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