Archive for September, 2008

After the rejection of the bailout plan the markets are crazier than before. Stay aside until the dust settles.

Tuesday, September 30th, 2008 at 07:25 | 0 comments
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Financial markets are waiting for the negotiations on shaping of the $700bln bailout plan. Rep Barney Frank, in BBG, says rescue bill will likely be passed by Monday, and in less than a week a bill will be signed. Until the effect of the plan is clear the markets will remain choppy and volatile. Stay [...]

Thursday, September 25th, 2008 at 08:08 | 0 comments
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More than 12% rise in gold prices help the EUR/USD to rebound and gain 3 big figures. Market liquidity is thin and everyone with money can choose the direction and magnitude of the move. Probably the upward correction will continue. In these market conditions the best strategy is to stay aside. If you decide to [...]

Thursday, September 18th, 2008 at 07:28 | 0 comments
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Yesterday FED left the rates unchanged but warned that it is watching the markets and will act if necessary. FED rescued AIG by authorising NY Fed to lend up to $85bln as secured loans. We’ll see in the next few days if this is enough to calm the markets. Order books are very thin and [...]

Wednesday, September 17th, 2008 at 07:21 | 0 comments
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Yesterday the things were pretty messy in the forex market. Lehman filed for Chapter 11 protection, AIG is seeking money and Washington Mutual is the next financial institution in trouble. Dow closed 504.48 pts down, which caused sell off in EUR/JPY and put EUR under pressure. EUR/USD hit 1.4322 around the NYSE close but then [...]

Tuesday, September 16th, 2008 at 07:22 | 0 comments
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A lot of US banking news combined with very thin liquidity (Japan, HK, China and S, Korea are off) resulted in a volatile Asin session. EUR/USD gapped up on the open and rallied to 1.4480. Lehman Brothers announced it is filing for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy. Lehman says none of broker – dealer subsidiaries or other [...]

Monday, September 15th, 2008 at 07:24 | 0 comments
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Probably the long awaited correction in EUR/USD has begun. On the daily candlesticks charts were formed a hammer reversal pattern, followed by e white candle with large body confirming the beginning of the retracement. The question is if this is just a correction of the new downtrend or a continuation of the previous uptrend? No [...]

Saturday, September 13th, 2008 at 08:15 | 0 comments
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EUR/USD posted new low yesterday but the a short squeeze in EUR/JPY caused a rally in the major pair above 1.4000. The forex market is still wondering if the USD strenght should continue or a correction should follow. Economic data from US are not positive but the rest of the world may be in much [...]

Friday, September 12th, 2008 at 08:06 | 0 comments
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New low for the downmove in EUR/USD. The market is extremely oversold but the bears rule and no bottom is visible. The nearest support is @ 1.3850 and it is previous high on weekly charts. A correction is due but if oil breaks below $100 it may be almost impossible. Trade carefully and always place [...]

Thursday, September 11th, 2008 at 13:08 | 0 comments
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EUR/USD still looks heavy. The pair is weighed by the lower oil prices and the EUR/JPY sales. The market is extremely oversold and due for correction but it seems impossible at this stage. Probably the big guys will target the option barriers and stops around 1.40 and then will allow any retracement to develop. OPEC [...]

Wednesday, September 10th, 2008 at 07:48 | 0 comments
Categories: Technical Analysis
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